2025 m.

Aplinka, kurioje gyvename, yra įtakojama begalės veiksnių, tačiau dar ne visi šie veiksniai yra pakankamai išgryninti ir / ar įvertinti (taip pat ir ekonominiu požiūriu), ypač kalbant apie teritorijas, turinčias istoriškai susiformavusių ypatumų.

As the complementary perspective, in this report, insights from the 4 case studies selected for the microsimulations (bottom-up approach) – namely Greece, Hungary, Italy, Poland, are reported; reflections for the United Kingdom are presented as well, while not part of the project, it was the testing bed and the initial country for which microsimulations were conducted. The outcomes cover: education rates;  employment rates; hours worked; gross (individual) income; disposable household income; and economic dependency rates.

This report presents in detail the methodological framework and approach to conduct this research. It describes: (i) the macro-level modelling strategy (top-down approach) used to create the scenarios that cover all ESPON countries + UK; and (ii) the micro-analytical approach used to project individual life course trajectories in selected countries (namely Greece, Hungary, Italy and Poland). 

This publication of country fiches annexed to the main report  of OVERLAP presents the country-level insights, for all ESPON countries + the United Kingdom. For each country, it presents the projected employment change at NUTS-3 level for the period 2024-2035, over 6 alternative scenarios—varying the strength of migration, productivity, and the green transition. 

The main report presents the territorial analyses and key reflections within the scenario-building exercise. It presents the regionalised results derived from the macro-modelling (using the DINOS framework), which explores the potential effects of the 3 overlapping transitions - namely demographic, green and digital - upon the regional labour market, for 2035. It details the scenario architecture, results of the regionalisation process, and the projected employment impacts at the NUTS-3 level across sectors, territories and scenarios.

The report at Tillvaxtverket.se is the Swedish translation of the policy brief Territorial perspective on green industrialisation. The report provides an overview, presenting insights into the challenges encountered and the solutions found.